There is a lot of talk about the anniversary of Mike Brown’s death possibly stirring up renewed unrest/rioting. At this point, my opinion is that the chances are about 50/50. Protests will occur, but whether or not they descend into a repeat of this time last year is not clear.
It’s entirely plausible that scheduled protests will be more consistent with what was seen during the Ferguson October event last year. Had Vonderitt Myers not gotten himself shot earlier that week, nothing probably would have happened during the weekend.
One of the things I’ve learned since last year is the difference between those on the street willing to start fires and shoot at police, and those posers who want to derive power by implied (and in some cases explicit) association. The latter were in charge of Ferguson October. They may be in charge of the scheduled events for the anniversary.
The problem is that Ferguson and North County as a whole are not safe places these days, as they haven’t been for many years. Distractions allow for more violent people to come out of the shadows and kickstart riots all while those responsible for the distractions give cause, endorsement, and protection to the violence.
With that said, as soon as there is another Officer Involved Shooting (OIS) in North County involving a white cop and a black suspect, justified or not, bad things will happen. If there is any question about the circumstances, or God forbid, a shooting is legitimately unjustified, riots are a certainty.